If you feel like we were just talking about Emmy shows, you’re not wrong. The 2023 Emmy season only ended earlier this year, when the delayed ceremony aired in January. But here we are on the eve of Emmy nominations once again. And yet again, the Little Gold Men team is taking our best stab at predicting all the nominees in the major categories.

A guide to Hollywood’s biggest races

On this week’s Little Gold Men (listen below), we walk through the reasons we think Shōgun should have a strong showing in the drama categories—including the fact that the hit new show doesn’t have a holdover winner like Succession to compete against this year. “It actually captured the zeitgeist and did so by being a very artistically driven show, which is increasingly rare to do these days,” says David Canfield. The bigger question in the drama categories is if a show like Fallout will reap Emmy love (we think it will).

On the comedy side, it feels like a two-show race between The Bear and Hacks. But we wonder if the tepid response to The Bear’s third season will have any effect on its chances to win these categories down the road. As for limited series? Expect Netflix’s breakout Baby Reindeer to lead the pack. We also dive deep into the acting categories and even touch on the reality-series races, which are often slow to change but could see some fresh blood this year.

Beyond all this talk of Emmy season, we dig into this weekend’s most promising new movie release: A24’s Sing Sing, which feels like the first real Oscar contender to hit theaters this year. Plus, we analyze some early fall-festival announcements, like Steve McQueen’s Blitz opening London and Beetlejuice Beetlejuice landing at Venice—and what those choices could indicate for their Oscar chances.